We regularly see forecasts suggesting that excess mortality is over. Time and again this is based on incorrectly merging cohorts, from which incorrect conclusions are then drawn. This article can also be read on the site...
Post-war birth waves and mortality expectations: the gray buffer of death
Mortality rates are often assessed without taking into account the demographics of the population. Yet that demography largely determines what we can expect, better than comparisons with mortality trends from a previous period, let alone from one year in which you...
The HVE calculator 2.0: the Healthy Vaccinee Effect with a placebo
Het Healthy Vaccinee Effect (HVE) wordt te vaak als een marginaal verschijnsel ingeschat en behandeld. In studies wordt het in Strengths and Weaknesses of in een voetnoot weggewerkt: "Er is niet gecorrigeerd voor het HVE, waardoor de cijfers voorzichtig moeten worden...
Sunny Image of the Eurobarometer
Vandaag verscheen het rapport "De zonnige beeldvorming van de Eurobarometer", van Maurice de Hond en mijzelf. De Eurobarometer is sinds 1974 de publieke opiniepeilstok van de EU. Zo'n politiek onderwerp hoort strikt genomen niet op virusvaria thuis, ook niet als ik...
Mortality by cause of death: New (cancer)
There is much to do about vaccine-related cancer. In addition to scientific studies on possible mechanisms by SV-40 SV40 promotor surveys in vaccines, the IgG4-Shift scientific basis for the IGG4 discussion, weakening immune response and other mechanisms ...
Mortality by cause of death: cardiovascular disease
In een vorig artikelHet Mysterie van de Verdwenen Formulieren bespraken we de groeiende categorie "Overige doodsoorzaken" in samenhang met de toename van ontbrekende doodsoorzaakformulieren. Hans Verwaart heeft berekend wat het effect is van die slordigheid op de...
And the winner will be...
We also keep an eye on VirusVaria abroad. Bulgaria has been mentioned repeatedly, Australia has been explicitly passed several times. What is the case now, how does Dutch relate to those two extremes? Herman Steigstra also has experience ...
We don't really get older but on average we do
A cryptic headline, prompted by my birthday today. I would therefore like to treat the readers of my blog to a new little discovery. Because if you know little, you make a lot of discoveries! The average Dutch person is getting older, I realize that today...
The Need for a Norm Mortality – Report for Ria de Korte, the House of Representatives
Why we need a new standard for mortality rates This memorandum was sent in PDF form on 16 April 2025 to Dr M.C. (Ria) de Korte-Verhoef, member of the NSC faction and to the Standing Committee on Health, Welfare and Sport. An in-depth report, Van Van der Dijk...
ASMR for dummies (Jip and Janneke in New Zealand)
ASMR is a statistical method that is often used to measure excess mortality. But there are circumstances in which ASMR evens out and dampens the actual excess mortality, for example in an aging population, in an age-discriminatory disease or in a...
Van verwachtingen naar normsterfte
The conversation about the baseline has become topical again, now that the House of Representatives has adopted a motion by the NSC (Ria de Korte). In this letter, RIVM is instructed to take a closer look at the calculations. What is this actually about? In 2024, RIVM has...
Czech data: 0 (nothing, nada) protection against Covid-19 by vaccines
Steve Kirsch has written about it before, but then again, Kirsch is of course a weirdo who sometimes flies off the rails, so you can't come up with that. Even if he has a strong point once (check out his substack, he has that regularly), it's for...
