Graphs of the press conference were examined in more detail by Herman Steigstra. The graph of infections in the UK has been cut off prematurely so that the evident decrease in infections can no longer be seen. We could become less anxious for once. Once again we are being framed into a qr dictatorship society under false pretenses.
2G is still on the agenda for Friday, January 21 under the guise of lied doomsday scenarios.
They don't care about me. I'm not going to prick, I'm not going to wear face masks outside (inside if necessary, if the owner appreciates it: in a mosque I would also take off my shoes). What a disconcerting scandal we are experiencing.
Below is Herman's letter.
More reliable Corona figures for real Policy and Control
Dear Member,
I expected my previous email to be my last since the epidemic is over the top. You can disagree about the speed of phasing out measures, but that is simply the prerogative of politicians to determine that.
At the press conference on Friday evening, expectations were high. It is very positive that graphs are now being shown, which partly gave a clearer picture of the spread of the virus. Unfortunately, something has gone completely wrong with the graph that relates to the United Kingdom.
Minister Kuipers showed a graph showing the number of positive tests for the Netherlands compared to 3 other countries: the UK, the US and France. The latter two countries have a course that is comparable to the Netherlands. The graph of the UK is very special. In Minister Kuipers' picture, it suggests that the figures there are still rising, while they have been falling there since the beginning of this year. Six months ago, almost all measures were lifted there, Freedom Day (https://www.maurice.nl/2022/01/16/welke-kant-gaan-wij-op/) without any significant problems. Life there has been going on normally since then.
This is the current graph as found on Our World In Data (see graph 1):
The picture in the UK is exactly the same as the picture from South Africa a month earlier and also the same as the trend in the Netherlands 2 weeks later. The Green Team's forecast also still follows the actual figures. It is therefore surprising that Kuipers' graph suggests the picture that there is a continuous rise in the UK. This is the graph from the presentation, with the graphs on the right as Google showed them on January 14: (see graph 2)
[Note: I have slightly adjusted Herman's graph. So this graph was not in Herman's original letter. I have replaced the graphs of Google with the graphs of Ourworldindata, the source to which Kuipers himself refers. Hover over the graph to make the actual status of January 14 invisible. It then becomes clear that not only in the United Kingdom but also in the United States and France the first decrease in the increase of 14 January has disappeared. Kuipers' graph therefore runs until a few days earlier. Whether that choice would have been made if the increase had continued is the question, especially given Kuipers' previous handling of graphs. They serve to support his story, his story does not adapt - or much too late - to the underlying data. In the case of the United Kingdom graph, the graph can be called misleading. The government spreads disinformation.]
I would therefore like to put a number of questions to the Ministers, and I hope that one of you will be prepared to do so.
QUESTIONS TO THE PRIME MINISTER AND THE MINISTER OF HEALTH, WELFARE AND SPORT:
The Minister of Health, Welfare and Sport indicated that it is important to also look at the figures from abroad and to mirror them. Denmark and France are more or less on par with the Netherlands, but the UK is two weeks ahead of us and therefore has a predictive value, in addition to the figures from South Africa that are four weeks ahead of the UK. I would like to know from the two ministers:
- Are the ministers aware that positive PCR tests in the UK have been falling sharply since the beginning of this year?
- If they are aware of this, what was the reason for showing a graph in which the figures are still rising and telling us that the situation there is worrying?
- Below the graph is "Source: Our world in data". This website itself shows very different figures. Can you explain that?
- If the ministers assume that the figures on Our World in Data are correct, there is reason to assume that sharply rising figures can be expected in the Netherlands due to the abandonment of measures, which have been in place in the UK since 19 July (https://www.cgdev.org/.../its-freedom-day-uk-covid-not...) are no longer there?
- If the figures in the UK are falling sharply without restrictive measures in place at the moment, why does the minister expect a sharp increase to as many as 80,000 positive tests per day in the event of a partial lockdown in the Netherlands?
- The Prime Minister expects a sharp increase in the number of positive tests to 80,000 per day due to the latest relaxations. Can he make it plausible with calculations that this can happen?
- If the number of positive tests were to rise to 80,000 per day, is the Prime Minister aware that 1.3 million infections per day will have taken place? (only 1 in 16 gets tested).
- All international noises are that there is a "decoupling" between numbers of "infections" ("Half of Europe will be infected in two months") and the number of people who actually get sick. Why then is there still emphasis on these "infections" that are actually no more than laboratory observations, while the hospitals are emptying. Is that still proportional compared to the imposition of restrictive measures that are no longer in place in any other country?
Hopefully, the answers that the two ministers will give you will help to gain a better understanding of the choices to be made when this epidemic ends.
Sincerely,
Herman Steigstra
