Steve Kirsch has written about it before, but then again, Kirsch is of course a weirdo who sometimes flies off the rails, so you can't come up with that. Even if he has a strong point once (watch his substack, he has that regularly), it is reason for the naïve critical elite to block. But because I wrote yesterday about the peer-reviewed Italian analysis of English data, I see a crack in the dike and I take a chance. So now a piece by Steve Kirsch (retranslated) with an American analysis of Czech data. Steve: take it away! 👇
A year ago, a dataset was published in the Czech Republic on recordlevel, i.e. per individual. Since then, anyone who took the trouble has been able to find the answer to the million-dollar question: 'has the COVID vaccination saved lives?' With the latest data, published in November 2024, I show how you can show with a simple calculation that the vaccine had no effect whatsoever on mortality rates. 👇
The Bottom Line
If you compare the total mortality (ACM) between vaccinated and unvaccinated people in periods without COVID and in periods with COVID, the ratio appears to remain exactly the same. Even among people in their seventies.
| Not vaccinated | Vaccinated | Ratio not/yes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ACM death rate on an annual basis, not Covid | 3,86% | 1,17% | 3,30 |
| ACM death rate on an annual basis, with Covid | 5,77% | 1,73% | 3,33 |
| Covid/no Covid ratio | 1,49 | 1,48 | 1,01 |
At first glance, it seems as if vaccinated people had a 3.3 times lower mortality rate than unvaccinated people during peak times of COVID (red figures). But the same ratio remains intact in periods without COVID. That means that neither Covid nor the vaccine have anything to do with it.
Because Covid/no Covid makes no difference in the ratio (black), these figures show that the observed differences are entirely explained by selection effects, such as the Healthy Vaccinee Effect (Where do we know that from?): people who get vaccinated have a lower mortality rate on average than people who don't. Think of terminally ill people who no longer get vaccinated because they are in a hospice.
Moreover, the table shows that during peak moments of COVID, people in their seventies had an almost 1.5 times higher mortality (purple), both among vaccinated and unvaccinated people.
How to do the analysis
You can use the Download dataset yourself and filter by birth cohort 1950-1954. This results in a file of 80 MB with about 673,000 rows. Or use this 100mb excel file from Github, where all the work has already been done for you.
Simply put: you first calculate per day how many vaccinated and unvaccinated people were still alive. You then calculate per period (COVID and non-COVID) how many person-weeks there were with mortality risk, how many deaths there were, and normalize this to an annual mortality.
The result is simply astonishing: the mortality ratio between vaccinated and unvaccinated remains exactly the same in periods with and without COVID.
If the vaccine had been effective, you would have expected the mortality ratio in COVID periods to be more favorable for the vaccinated than in periods without Covid. That is not the case.
In short: the vaccine, which should have made a difference in the elderly during COVID, has not done that.
The Czech corona dashboard
Czech it out: (joke from Steve, ed.)
Data and transparency
The Czech government deserves praise for making this data available. This is what every government should do: full transparency with record-level data on vaccinations and mortality rates. Only in this way can we draw well-founded conclusions and save lives.
This underlines the importance of making record-level data on vaccination publicly available.
Now, this study is only about the absence of any COVID-related mortality benefit from the vaccine. So it says nothing about the broader effects on all-cause mortality (for example, that the vaccine increased baseline mortality and caused hundreds of thousands of Americans to die prematurely). That's another story.
This analysis simply shows: the COVID vaccination has not had any demonstrable benefit on COVID mortality, even for the elderly who should have benefited the most.
Discussion – or rather: No discussion
These conclusions are based on hard data. Anyone who finds a flaw in the analysis may say so. So far, no one has been able to refute anything. If this is true — and everything points to it — then this is a rock-solid revelation. And to think that the data were there for the taking all this time, and no one has done anything with it.
(And it will stay that way for a while, ed.)
I've been following Steve since his 1st conversation with Brett Weinstein and Robert Malone.
Nice that you bring this publication to your attention.
You often can't see the wood for the trees with him.
Yes, I have been following him for a long time, also corresponded with him from time to time. He has blundered once in a while (I don't remember what so soon) but that's allowed, everyone stumbles sometimes when he goes off the beaten track.
But for a lot of people, who have less patience with him, he himself is one big red flag. Very unfortunate because he brings out good things.
In summary: not the benefits, but the burdens?
I think the factor 3.3 is high to be caused by the HVE alone. If the excess mortality is really caused by the vaccines, then this ratio is actually about 10% too low.
For young people who were scandalously also pushed to get some shots, the ratio should be close to (under) 1, right?
I thought so too, but still... An example sum:
Remember that mortality rates are generally low. Say it's 1% in a certain age group.
10% have not been vaccinated, the majority for health reasons (what else would it be?).
So we have 90% vaccinated people and 10% sick unvaccinated people – there is a good chance that there is a large part of that that 1% mortality chance of the entire group.
So we now have to divide that 1% mortality chance for the entire group between those two groups. Is that factor 3 still that much? Everything you take out in the vaccinated must be added in 9 copies to the unvaccinated. Then you get to a factor of 3 I think. But you can calculate better than I can... 😉
A little aversion to pointless math violence developed. We know all too well that it gives a false accuracy since the RIVM models. Garbage in, garbage out.
With the very oldest, I can still imagine the HVE, you don't pin someone on his deathbed. Although, I spoke to a lot of people whose demented father or mother was vaccinated with priority.
But with school-age youth, virtue signaling played a role, "when are you going to get your shot?". I was in between and had to bite off my tongue.
And with the somewhat older people, it was perhaps the health freaks who didn't go.
So many questions that VWS could answer.
Perhaps there were also people in the group of unvaccinated deceased people who died before they were booked as "fully vaccinated".
Leave out the "maybe". There was also a period when you were only allowed to go on holiday with the first booster. So there was a time when people with the first two shots or one Jansen counted as unvaccinated again. Rutte then supposedly wondered aloud in the House of Representatives whether he could go to a meeting in Germany with one Jansen. I still have the feeling that I am in a very bad bad movie. Our child alone in a building with 40 entrances between the unsavory types in Amsterdam during the evening shifts and we could no longer go there to help and watch because of the curfew and then those messages from Halsema in recent days that she was actually "against the curfew"... etc.