During a trip to LinkedIn, I was confronted with the belief that the excess mortality is almost entirely due to Covid. And therefore not unexplained. Actuaries pointed out to me that the Royal Actuarial Society also says that (and it is true). No one calculated how you could arrive at an excess mortality of 12,000 to 14,000.
So I made a calculator out of that. They can then successively fill in the white fields and see what numbers they arrive at. Below it is indicated how the shortage can be supplemented with either 'covid anyway', in which case the IFR (mortality percentage) will increase, or 'vaccination anyway', showing how many additional deaths the injections should have resulted in. We leave other factors (psychological, economic) out of the picture. Delayed care no longer plays a significant role in any case.

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