In the Netherlands, we have got stuck explaining thousands of deaths. The data is kept secret and redacted before it is released. We will probably never know how it works. In more free countries than ours, things are different, for example in the American state of Massachusetts. In response to a WOB request, the death certificates of the past 7 years have been made public. Joël Smalley did an analysis.
Below is the translation of the article. Below the article is an afterword with what I have learned from it and to what extent we can relate this to the Dutch situation.
During the COVID pandemic, we've been advocating for good quality data so that uncompromising analysts like me (Joel Smalley) can conduct independent research to counterbalance existing narratives. This is the absolute essence of good science and evidence-based decision-making.
Finally, as a result of a FOIA, we now have access to seven full years of complete death certificates for the state of Massachusetts, USA.
These are my insights.
Joel SmalleyJoel Smalley – translated from https://metatron.substack.com/p/the-definitive-guide-to-covid-and |
Ratings
- SEPSIS
- CANCER
- NEURODEGENERATIVE DISEASES (Parkinson's, Alzheimer's, Dementia)
- CARDIOVASCULAR
- RESPIRATION
- ORGAN FAILURE (hepatic, renal, gastrointestinal, multisystem organ failure, growth retardation)
- MISADVENTURE (drug overdose, hanging)
COVID-19

- The COVID-19 epidemic in Massachusetts occurred on March 18, 2020, and ended 17 weeks later on July 15-20 (Figure 1). At that time, deaths where COVID-19 was listed on the death certificate (i.e., not necessarily the primary cause of death), accounted for 30% of all deaths.
- The state implemented a wide range of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on March 25, 2020, including general business closures (shops, bars, and restaurants) and a ban on gatherings. In theory, these NPIs should have ensured that the distribution of actual COVID-19 deaths would be smaller than the deaths predicted by a Gompertz feature. That is clearly not the case. None of these NPIs had any impact on COVID-19 mortality. All the deaths that we would have in accordance with that function have taken place.
- On April 17-20, the state introduced a mandate for everyone to wear a mask when outdoors in close proximity to others. Since that mandate, the decline in COVID-19 deaths has slowed rather than accelerated, while an accelerated decline was the intended outcome of the policy.
- On 10-Jun-20 the general closures were lifted. There was no clear increase in the number of COVID-19 deaths thereafter as predicted by the epidemiological models. In fact, the course of COVID-19 mortality due to natural causes (temporal herd immunity and seasonality) continued to decline to zero.
- On October 7-20, the mask mandate, which had remained in place, was extended to outdoors, regardless of location or the presence of other people. Immediately, at that time, mortality from COVID-19 started to rise again. This is a seasonal resurgence rather than a result of the completely ineffective mask mandate. This wave of COVID-19 mortality lasted for 32 weeks until 19 May-21, but there were 40% fewer deaths than the spring wave, representing 13% of all deaths during that period.
- On May 19-21, the mask mandate was lifted, but there was no subsequent resurgence in COVID-19 mortality that would have been expected if the mask mandate had been effective. It is more likely that the COVID-19 outbreak ended again due to temporary herd immunity and seasonality.

- The distribution of deaths in which COVID-19 was attributed as the main cause follows exactly the same pattern as that in which COVID-19 was listed on the death certificate (Figure 2).
- Conversely, COVID-19 accounted for only 6% of all deaths during the spring epidemic and 3% during the seasonal return from fall 2020 through spring 2021.
Deaths of 5 to 11-year-olds

- During the pandemic year 2020, deaths of children aged 5 to 11 years were significantly lower than normal (compared to the 5-year average with a range of +/- two standard deviations from the mean). There were about half as many deaths as usual (Figure 3).
- In 2021, deaths were in line with expectations before ending in the same way as 2020 between April and June. However, there was a sharp rise in deaths in July, which put the number of deaths back on their usual path.
- There does not seem to be any cause for this increase. Accidents (including overdose, suffocation, fall, etc.) is the only category that ended the year above the upper limit of expectation with a total of four deaths.
- There were no deaths from COVID-19 at all in this age group and only one where COVID-19 was mentioned, i.e.: the child died of something else and COVID-19 may have contributed to the death.
Deaths of 12 to 15-year-olds

- In both 2020 and 2021, deaths of children aged 12 to 15 were significantly lower than normal, with about 20% fewer deaths (Figure 4).
- However, accidents (including overdose, suffocation, fall, etc.) is the only category that caused the year in 2020 to end above the upper limit of expectations with a total of twelve deaths, twice as many as normal (Figure 5)

- There were no deaths from COVID-19 at all in this age group, but six where COVID-19 was mentioned.
Deaths of 16 to 19-year-olds

- During the pandemic year 2020, the deaths of teenagers aged 16 to 19 were more or less in line with expectations with a clear, apart from the insignificant bump during the spring epidemic (Figure 6).
- In 2021, deaths were in line with expectations before remaining above them from mid-May, making the year just over 8% higher than normal, but just within the overall upper limit.
- ‘Accidents' is again the only category here that ended the year above the upper limit of expectation with a total of 35 deaths, 45% more than normal.

- There was only one death from COVID-19 in this age group in 2021, but none in 2020, and 3 mentioned in 2020 compared to 5 in 2021 (Figure 7).
- The rise in deaths in 2021 also coincides with the middle of the main mass vaccination of this age group (Figure 8).

Deaths of 20 to 29-year-olds

- The number of deaths among 20- to 29-year-olds was 10% lower than normal in 2020 and almost 20% in 2021 (Figure 9).
- However, this is mainly due to significantly lower deaths due to setbacks/accidents (Figure 10), offset by higher deaths in cardiovascular (Figure 11) and organ failure (Figure 12) in 2020. Note, however, that 2021 deaths from setbacks appear incomplete.



- There were four cases each year in which COVID-19 was the primary cause of death, i.e., about 0.5% of all deaths. However, it was mentioned 13 times in 2020 compared to 28 times (more than twice as often) in 2021 (Figure 13).

Deaths of 30 to 39-year-olds

- Deaths of 30- to 39-year-olds were 15% higher than normal in 2020, well above the upper limit and do not coincide with the COVID-19 outbreaks (Figure 14).
- In 2021, they were even higher at +22%.
- Deaths from organ failure are higher than expected, but the main culprits are cardiovascular (Figure 15) and respiratory diseases (Figure 16).


- COVID-19 was the leading cause of death five times in 2020, but 14 times in 2021, with most deaths coming after vaccinations (Figure 17).

- COVID-19 was mentioned 39 times in 2020 but 69 times in 2021 (Figure 18) and is temporarily associated with the excess cardiovascular (Figure 19) and respiratory (Figure 20) deaths. It is clear that the vaccination has led to significantly more COVID-related mortality in this age group.



- The number of deaths among blacks and Hispanics in this age group is significantly higher than the average (Figure 21) at 32% and 52% above usual for 2020 and 2021, compared to 15% and 22%, respectively.

Deaths of 40 to 64-year-olds

- Deaths of 40- to 49-year-olds and 50- to 64-year-olds have the same patterns, so I grouped them together (Figure 22). For the first time, we see a clear impact of COVID-19 in the spring of 2020. Nevertheless, there are more deaths in 2021, 12% above normal.
- Cancer is well below normal in 2020, suggesting that many of these COVID-19 deaths have been displaced, but even lower in 2021, as those cancer deaths appear to have been displaced by other causes (Figure 23).

- Cardiovascular (Figure 24) and respiratory (Figure 25) account for most of the exceedance in both years.


- There are the same number of deaths from COVID-19 in both years "despite" the vaccine claimed to reduce mortality by up to 95% (Figure 26). More unusually, COVID-19 mortality in 2021 begins in the middle of summer, completely off-season. Yet, in both years, COVID-19 is only responsible for just over 1% of all deaths, which seems disproportionate to the attention paid to it.

Deaths of 65 to 74-year-olds

- Deaths of 65- to 74-year-olds also show the clear impact of COVID-19 in the spring of 2020. Nevertheless, 2021 ends with the same number of deaths, 22% above normal (Figure 27). Again, blacks and Hispanics are significantly higher at over 50%.
- These excesses cannot be explained solely by COVID-19. In 2020, COVID-19 was mentioned 1,581 times on the death certificate, but only 1,165 times in 2021 (Figure 28), compared to about 2,200 excess deaths.

- Even in this older age group, COVID-19 was only the primary cause of death in less than 2% of all deaths (Figure 29).

- Apart from the marked increase in cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, the main source of non-COVID excess mortality in 2020 is degenerative disease (Figure 30). This is likely due to the orders not to resuscitate in care homes and the lack of visits from family and friends. Maybe Remdesivir also played a role?

Deaths of 75+ ages

- Inevitably, the deaths of people over 75 show the most pronounced impact of COVID-19, as its heterogeneity is known from the very first reports from Wuhan and the Diamond Princess cruise ship. Moreover, this is the only age group that shows substantially more mortality in 2020, the year of the pandemic, than 2021, the year of the vaccine (Figure 31).
- Despite this, only one-third of excess deaths in 2020 are due to COVID-19 as the leading cause of death (Figure 32). After the seasonal winter outbreak, COVID-19 is largely absent as a cause of death for this age group. If there was any evidence for vaccine effectiveness, this is the only age group that demonstrates it and that really should be of paramount importance when it comes to informing public health decisions. Alternatively, it could simply be that all the vulnerable had already succumbed in the spring wave.

- Even the non-COVID reported deaths exceed the expected deaths for both 2020 and 2021, mainly caused by cardiovascular disease (Figure 33).

- Finally, we again find that deaths among blacks and Latinos are significantly higher than average, with more than 60% for 2020 and 37% for 2021 (Figure 34), compared to only 17% and 4% for all ethnicities, respectively.

Conclusion
Obviously, as you move towards younger age groups, the overall mortality rateandmortality from COVID-19 in 2021 will be relatively worse than in 2020.
This is in stark contrast to the claims that the COVID-19 vaccine is bothsafeifis effective. Based on the empirical evidence presented here, the results are worse for all ages under 75 years of age in the year of COVID-19 vaccinations.
In addition, it appears that none of the non-pharmaceutical interventions have had a discernible benefit in terms of COVID-19 mortality outcomes, either as a result of the disease or as a factor for the main causes of death.
It is also clear that COVID-19 is not important as a sole cause of death and does not affect those who were already nearing the end of life.
There's a lot more to this dataset and that's more than one person can handle. Rest assured, there are many others who are working to reveal every ounce of truth about the situation.
As part of preparations for state and federal legal action, it helps if you point out any factual errors or omissions to the author.
Thank you.